Like Pundette, I woke to disappointment upon hearing Dirty Harry won. And Senator Ma’am. And Barney.
Bitter disappointment given how the pro-life amendment here in Colorado fared.
It took a little surfin’ to assuage my angst.
A little Jen-Ru to brighten your morning:
The prospect of an eight or nine or 10 Senate-seat pickup for the GOP has skewed the punditry. You have to keep in mind that the whole House was up for re-election, but the entire Senate wasn’t. Only 37 seats were at issue. Let’s say Ken Buck pulls through. The percentage of seats picked up by the GOP would then be 18.9 percent (seven of 37). In the context of the whole House, this would be the equivalent of an 83-seat pickup. Put differently, given the number of seats up and the fact that there were so many Blue States in play, the GOP’s haul is by any measure an extraordinary achievement. And in the Senate, if Lisa Murkowski wins and caucuses with the GOP, there won’t be single lost seat for the Republicans. In the House, there are three losses so far.
This is not to say that the GOP couldn’t have done better. Would Mike Castle and Sue Lowden have been able to take Nevada and Delaware, respectively? Almost certainly that would have been the case in Delaware, and quite possibly in Nevada. That said, the Tea Party critics should keep in mind that the Tea Partiers are also responsible for two potential GOP stars getting through the primary and winning big — Marco Rubio and Ron Johnson. They also helped fuel House, Senate, and gubernatorial wins. It would be nice for a party to pick only nominees who can win general elections, but that happens only in the imagination of eager partisans.
This helps the coffee go down. A little bittersweet here in Colorado considering Ken Buck is so close, and we’re stuck with a loony leftie for a Governor since Republicans couldn’t wrap their minds around voting for the real conservative who wasn’t running as a Republican. Sigh. And the prospect of Murkowski pulling through makes me violently ill. But all in all, it’s not as bad as I first thought this morning.
It’s the biggest Republican gain in two generations — and yet, because of a few key races, it feels a little disappointing.
Wins to savor tonight: Marco Rubio in Florida, Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, Bobby Schilling in Illinois. Nikki Haley in South Carolina. Daniel Webster’s defeat of the Devil in Florida’s 8th District. Susana Martinez’s big win in New Mexico. Allen West.
Chip Cravaack beating James Oberstar in Minnesota. Mick Mulvaney beating John Spratt in South Carolina. The big comeback in New York State’s House races.
He’s right. But the bitterness of those few races still leaves a bad taste, no? Harry. Ick.
So no, we may not have the Senate. But the consolation prize is better than first thought: state houses. Erick Erickson:
[UPDATE]: The whole of the Maine legislator has flipped to the GOP. Several people I have talked to said such a deep and thorough shift to any one party has not happened in one election in the past 100 years.
This is an unusual Morning Briefing because you need to understand what happened while you’ve been sleeping.
Republican gains are massive. And when I say Republican gains are massive, I mean tsunami.
No, the GOP did not take the Senate and some races are still outstanding, but the Senate GOP has moved to the right. More so, the Republicans picking up, in the worst case, seven seats is historically strong.
But consider that as you wake up this morning the Republican Party has picked up more seats in the House of Representatives than at any time since 1948 — that is more than sixty seats. Ike Skelton, Class of 1976, is gone. Many, many other Democrats are gone.
That, in and of itself, is significant. But that’s not the half of it. The real story is the underreported story of the night — the Republican pick ups at the state level.
There will be 18 states subject to reapportionment. The Republicans will control a majority of those — at least ten and maybe a dozen or more. More significantly, a minimum of seventeen state legislative houses have flipped to the Republican Party.
The North Carolina Legislature is Republican for the first time since 1870. Yes, that is Eighteen Seventy
The Alabama Legislature is Republican for the first time since 1876.
For those saying this is nothing because it is the South, consider these:
The entire Wisconsin and New Hampshire legislatures have flipped to the GOP by wide margins.
The State Houses in Indiana, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Iowa, Montana, and Colorado flipped to the GOP.
The Maine and Minnesota Senates flipped to the GOP.
The Texas and Tennessee Houses went from virtually tied to massive Republican gains. The gains in Texas were so big that the Republicans no longer need the Democrats to get state constitutional amendments out of the state legislature.
These gains go all the way down to the municipal level across the nation. That did not happen even in 1994.
This was a tsunami.
Feeling better yet? I am. Another plum prize via Michelle Malkin: two Secretary of State wins. No small potatoes ahead of the next election.
A salve from Mark Levin:
We will win around 3 score House races (including several long-time liberal Democrats), several Senate races, a slew of governorships, and this will be spun as a loss. We are fighting the Democrats on their dark blue turf, they have become the regional party, several states have returned to their red status (Florida, Virginia, Indiana, among others), and this will be spun as a loss. We are well positioned for 2012. The conservative movement is back and growing. Nancy Pelosi and her machine have been defeated. And the GOP moderates have their backs to the wall. And this will be spun as a lost.
As for compromise, the victor doesn’t seek compromise, the loser does. To think otherwise is to switch places. Furthermore, compromise per se is irrational. You only compromise depending on what the issue is, and what the compromise means for the broader picture.
The Democrats have far more Senate seats up in two years. The Republicans control much more redistricting after tonight. And this will be spun as a lost.
Would you rather be us today or them?
UPDATE: Welcome Pundit and Pundette readers! Thanks for the link!
Filed under: 2010 midterm, Abortion | 5 Comments »